A new tsunami runup predictor

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Runup from Impact Tsunami

Tsunami generated by the impacts of asteroids or comets are widely recognized as a potential hazard (Hills et al 1994, in Hazards Due to Comets and Asteroids ed. T. Gehrels, Chapman and Morrison 1994 Nature 367, 33, Ward and Asphaug 2000, Icarus, 145, 64, Atkinson et al. 2000, Report of the UK Task Force on potentially hazardous NEOs, Chesley and Ward 2003, J. Geophys. Res., submitted). The glo...

متن کامل

Power-law Scaling and Probabilistic Forecasting of Tsunami Runup Heights

A power-law scaling relationship describes tsunami runup heights at ten locations in Japan. Knowledge of the scaling law for tsunamis can be the basis for probabilistic forecasting of the size and number of future events and for estimating probabilities of extremely large events. Using tsunami runup data archived by the U.S. National Geophysical Data Center, we study ten locations where the tsu...

متن کامل

Numerical methods for a reliable prediction of water wave phenomena : uncertainty quantification for tsunami runup

Aim of this study is to present robust numerical methods for shallow water equations permitting to correctly predict long water-wave phenomena. A semi-intrusive and polynomialchaos based method are coupled with a residual based distribution scheme by considering several sources of uncertainties in the simulation of a long wave runup on a conical island. Stochastic results are assessed by compar...

متن کامل

Rapid forecasting of tsunami runup heights from 2-D numerical simulations

We propose a method to compute tsunami runup heights that is based on an integration of numerical, 2-D shallow-water modelling and an analytical, 1-D long-wave runup theory. This approach provides a faster forecast of tsunami runup heights than a complicated coastal inundation model. Through simulations of potential tsunami scenarios, this approach can also be applied to long-term tsunami predi...

متن کامل

Tsunami hazard in the Black Sea and the Azov Sea: a new tsunami catalogue

Data on tsunamis occurring in the Black Sea and the Azov Sea from antiquity up to the present were updated, critically evaluated and compiled in the standard format developed since the 90’s for the New European Tsunami Catalogue. Twenty nine events were examined but three of them, supposedly occurring in 557 AD, 815 AD and 1341 or 1343, were very likely falsely reported. Most of the remaining 2...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Natural Hazards

سال: 2020

ISSN: 0921-030X,1573-0840

DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04366-1